{"id":12847,"date":"2026-05-04T09:31:38","date_gmt":"2026-05-04T02:31:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/taichinhphowall.com\/index.php\/2026\/05\/04\/xac-suat-tang-diem-trong-thang-5-lieu-sell-in-may-co-con-la-noi-am-anh\/"},"modified":"2026-05-04T09:31:38","modified_gmt":"2026-05-04T02:31:38","slug":"xac-suat-tang-diem-trong-thang-5-lieu-sell-in-may-co-con-la-noi-am-anh","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/taichinhphowall.com\/index.php\/2026\/05\/04\/xac-suat-tang-diem-trong-thang-5-lieu-sell-in-may-co-con-la-noi-am-anh\/","title":{"rendered":"X\u00e1c su\u1ea5t t\u0103ng \u0111i\u1ec3m trong th\u00e1ng 5: Li\u1ec7u \u201cSell in May\u201d c\u00f3 c\u00f2n l\u00e0 n\u1ed7i \u00e1m \u1ea3nh?"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111ang \u0111\u1ee9ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng c\u1eeda c\u1ee7a th\u00e1ng 5 v\u1edbi nhi\u1ec1u k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng l\u1eabn ho\u00e0i nghi v\u1ec1 hi\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u201cSell in May\u201d. Thay v\u00ec lo ng\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 m\u1ed9t m\u00f9a b\u00e1n th\u00e1o, c\u00e1c d\u1eef li\u1ec7u th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea tr\u00ean ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 VN-Index l\u1ea1i m\u1edf ra m\u1ed9t g\u00f3c nh\u00ecn th\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng nh\u01b0ng \u0111\u1ea7y ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng v\u1ec1 x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t t\u0103ng \u0111i\u1ec3m v\u1eabn duy tr\u00ec \u1edf m\u1ee9c cao tr\u00ean 50%, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t khi hi\u1ec7u \u1ee9ng t\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 4 v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng tr\u00ean 5% th\u01b0\u1eddng t\u1ea1o ra \u0111\u00e0 t\u00e2m l\u00fd t\u00edch c\u1ef1c cho giai \u0111o\u1ea1n k\u1ebf ti\u1ebfp.<\/p>\n

\n \"X\u00e1c
\u1ea2nh t\u1eeb ngu\u1ed3n: vneconomy.vn<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Nh\u1eadn di\u1ec7n x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t t\u0103ng \u0111i\u1ec3m t\u1eeb g\u00f3c \u0111\u1ed9 l\u1ecbch s\u1eed d\u1eef li\u1ec7u<\/h2>\n

Nh\u00ecn v\u00e0o b\u1ee9c tranh to\u00e0n c\u1ea3nh, vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t t\u0103ng \u0111i\u1ec3m trong th\u00e1ng 5 kh\u00f4ng n\u00ean ch\u1ec9 d\u1eebng l\u1ea1i \u1edf nh\u1eefng \u0111\u1ecbnh ki\u1ebfn c\u0169 k\u1ef9. Theo \u00f4ng Nguy\u1ec5n Th\u1ebf Minh, Gi\u00e1m \u0111\u1ed1c Kh\u1ed1i Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 – Ph\u00f3 Gi\u00e1m \u0111\u1ed1c Kh\u1ed1i kinh doanh t\u1ea1i Ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n An B\u00ecnh (ABS), d\u1eef li\u1ec7u l\u1ecbch s\u1eed c\u1ee7a VN-Index cho th\u1ea5y hi\u1ec7u \u1ee9ng t\u00edch c\u1ef1c t\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 4 th\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ed9 tr\u1ec5 v\u00e0 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng lan t\u1ecfa nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ecbnh. Khi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ghi nh\u1eadn m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng v\u01b0\u1ee3t ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng 5% trong th\u00e1ng 4, \u0111\u00e2y kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t con s\u1ed1 \u0111\u01a1n thu\u1ea7n m\u00e0 c\u00f2n l\u00e0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh s\u1ee9c kh\u1ecfe n\u1ed9i t\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a d\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 cho gi\u1ea3 \u0111\u1ecbnh r\u1eb1ng, b\u1ea5t ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eefng lo ng\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u00f9a v\u1ee5, x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t t\u0103ng \u0111i\u1ec3m v\u1eabn gi\u1eef \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ebf c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng t\u00edch c\u1ef1c tr\u00ean ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng 50%.<\/p>\n

S\u1ef1 v\u1eadn \u0111\u1ed9ng n\u00e0y c\u0169ng t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed3ng v\u1edbi c\u00e1c chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed9ng trong h\u1ec7 sinh th\u00e1i h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh khi c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng d\u1ea7n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ho\u00e0n thi\u1ec7n. Th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf cho th\u1ea5y, vi\u1ec7c duy tr\u00ec nh\u1ecbp \u0111\u1ed9 \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh tr\u00ean s\u00e0n \u0111\u1ea5u ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n c\u0169ng g\u1eafn li\u1ec1n v\u1edbi hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 v\u1eadn h\u00e0nh c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng giao d\u1ecbch hi\u1ec7n \u0111\u1ea1i, gi\u1ed1ng nh\u01b0 c\u00e1ch m\u00e0 h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng core t\u1ef1 ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u00e3 kh\u1eb3ng \u0111\u1ecbnh \u01b0u th\u1ebf trong v\u1eadn h\u00e0nh KRX m\u1ed9t n\u0103m qua, t\u1ea1o \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n thu\u1eadn l\u1ee3i cho s\u1ef1 lu\u00e2n chuy\u1ec3n c\u1ee7a d\u00f2ng v\u1ed1n.<\/p>\n

S\u1ef1 ph\u00e2n k\u1ef3 gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 v\u00e0 v\u00f9ng tr\u0169ng th\u00f4ng tin<\/h2>\n

Th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf cho th\u1ea5y m\u1ed9t ngh\u1ecbch l\u00fd l\u00e0 trong khi ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 chung cho th\u1ea5y x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t t\u0103ng \u0111i\u1ec3m v\u1eabn cao, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng l\u1ea1i \u0111ang \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi nh\u1ecbp \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh tr\u00ean di\u1ec7n r\u1ed9ng khi d\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n c\u00f3 d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u co c\u1ee5m. C\u00e1c chuy\u00ean gia t\u1eeb Ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n MBS nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh r\u1eb1ng, sau h\u01a1n 5 tu\u1ea7n ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp, ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 VN-Index \u0111ang th\u1eed th\u00e1ch v\u00f9ng kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 1.900 \u0111i\u1ec3m \u2013 v\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ec9nh c\u0169 c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2026. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m m\u00e0 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng th\u01b0\u1eddng r\u01a1i v\u00e0o v\u00f9ng tr\u0169ng th\u00f4ng tin sau m\u00f9a c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 kinh doanh qu\u00fd 1, d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn s\u1ef1 ph\u00e2n k\u1ef3 gi\u1eefa \u0111\u00e0 t\u0103ng c\u1ee7a ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 v\u00e0 hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 danh m\u1ee5c th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0.<\/p>\n

\u0110\u00e1ng ch\u00fa \u00fd, v\u00f9ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp t\u1ea1i ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng 1.780 \u2013 1.800 \u0111i\u1ec3m s\u1ebd \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t “b\u1ec7 \u0111\u1ee1” cho qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh t\u00edch l\u0169y \u0111\u1ed9ng n\u0103ng. S\u1ef1 ph\u00e2n h\u00f3a n\u00e0y kh\u00f4ng h\u1eb3n l\u00e0 d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u k\u1ebft th\u00fac c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t xu h\u01b0\u1edbng, m\u00e0 l\u00e0 nh\u1ecbp ngh\u1ec9 c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft \u0111\u1ec3 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ea5p th\u1ee5 ngu\u1ed3n cung v\u00e0 chu\u1ea9n b\u1ecb cho nh\u1eefng b\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111i d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n h\u01a1n. Trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u1ebf t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh li\u00ean t\u1ee5c \u0111\u01b0a ra nh\u1eefng b\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111i chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c, nh\u01b0 vi\u1ec7c t\u1ed1i \u01b0u h\u00f3a \u01b0u \u0111\u00e3i ph\u00ed ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n v\u00e0 nh\u1eefng ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch t\u1eeb KIS nh\u1eb1m gi\u1eef ch\u00e2n nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111ang d\u1ea7n h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh nh\u1eefng c\u01a1 ch\u1ebf t\u1ef1 \u0111i\u1ec1u ti\u1ebft tinh t\u1ebf h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n

Th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c t\u1eeb bi\u1ebfn s\u1ed1 ngo\u1ea1i c\u1ea3nh<\/h2>\n

Nh\u00ecn s\u00e2u v\u00e0o b\u1ea3n ch\u1ea5t c\u00e1c r\u1ee7i ro, x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t t\u0103ng \u0111i\u1ec3m trong th\u00e1ng 5 c\u00f2n b\u1ecb chi ph\u1ed1i b\u1edfi nh\u1eefng bi\u1ebfn s\u1ed1 t\u1eeb b\u1ee9c tranh to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u. S\u1ef1 th\u1ea5t th\u01b0\u1eddng trong xung \u0111\u1ed9t t\u1ea1i khu v\u1ef1c Trung \u0110\u00f4ng v\u00e0 c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i \u0111i\u1ec1u h\u00e0nh t\u1eeb c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng l\u1edbn \u0111ang t\u1ea1o ra b\u1ea7u kh\u00f4ng kh\u00ed th\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng. Khi ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi \u0111ang ng\u1ef1 tr\u1ecb \u1edf nh\u1eefng v\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ec9nh m\u1edbi, r\u1ee7i ro \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh lu\u00f4n ch\u1ef1c ch\u1edd ph\u00eda sau. T\u1ea1i th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng trong n\u01b0\u1edbc, s\u1ef1 t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0o c\u00e1c k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3, v\u00ed d\u1ee5 nh\u01b0 tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p T\u1ed5ng gi\u00e1m \u0111\u1ed1c Nagakawa \u0111\u0103ng k\u00fd mua quy\u1ec1n mua c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu trong \u0111\u1ee3t t\u0103ng v\u1ed1n, cho th\u1ea5y c\u00e1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p v\u1eabn \u0111ang ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 b\u1ea3ng c\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed1i k\u1ebf to\u00e1n, t\u1ea1o ra nh\u1eefng \u0111i\u1ec3m t\u1ef1a gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb gi\u1eefa th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ea7y bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng.<\/p>\n

Nh\u00ecn chung, vi\u1ec7c duy tr\u00ec c\u00e1i nh\u00ecn kh\u00e1ch quan v\u1ec1 x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t t\u0103ng \u0111i\u1ec3m trong th\u00e1ng 5 gi\u00fap nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 tr\u00e1nh \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00e1i b\u1eaby c\u1ee7a t\u00e2m l\u00fd \u0111\u00e1m \u0111\u00f4ng. D\u00f9 “Sell in May” th\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c nh\u1eafc \u0111\u1ebfn nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t th\u00f4ng l\u1ec7, nh\u01b0ng d\u01b0\u1edbi l\u0103ng k\u00ednh c\u1ee7a d\u1eef li\u1ec7u v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 v\u1eadn \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng Vi\u1ec7t Nam v\u1eabn \u0111ang cho th\u1ea5y nh\u1eefng t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u ki\u00ean c\u01b0\u1eddng, n\u01a1i s\u1ef1 ph\u00e2n h\u00f3a l\u00e0 t\u1ea5t y\u1ebfu \u0111\u1ec3 s\u00e0ng l\u1ecdc c\u00e1c c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng.<\/p>\n

B\u00e0i vi\u1ebft \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c bi\u00ean t\u1eadp l\u1ea1i t\u1eeb ngu\u1ed3n: vneconomy.vn<\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111ang \u0111\u1ee9ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng c\u1eeda c\u1ee7a th\u00e1ng 5 v\u1edbi nhi\u1ec1u k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng l\u1eabn ho\u00e0i nghi v\u1ec1 hi\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u201cSell in May\u201d. Thay v\u00ec lo ng\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 m\u1ed9t m\u00f9a b\u00e1n th\u00e1o, c\u00e1c d\u1eef li\u1ec7u th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea tr\u00ean ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 VN-Index l\u1ea1i m\u1edf ra m\u1ed9t g\u00f3c nh\u00ecn th\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng nh\u01b0ng \u0111\u1ea7y […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":12845,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[43],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-12847","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tong-quan-thi-truong"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/taichinhphowall.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12847","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/taichinhphowall.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/taichinhphowall.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/taichinhphowall.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/taichinhphowall.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=12847"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/taichinhphowall.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12847\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/taichinhphowall.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/12845"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/taichinhphowall.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=12847"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/taichinhphowall.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=12847"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/taichinhphowall.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=12847"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}