{"id":11160,"date":"2026-05-01T16:15:42","date_gmt":"2026-05-01T09:15:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/taichinhphowall.com\/index.php\/2026\/05\/01\/co-phieu-phan-bon-nguoc-song-phan-tich-ky-thuat-dong-tien-va-kich-ban-thi-truong\/"},"modified":"2026-05-01T16:15:42","modified_gmt":"2026-05-01T09:15:42","slug":"co-phieu-phan-bon-nguoc-song-phan-tich-ky-thuat-dong-tien-va-kich-ban-thi-truong","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/taichinhphowall.com\/index.php\/2026\/05\/01\/co-phieu-phan-bon-nguoc-song-phan-tich-ky-thuat-dong-tien-va-kich-ban-thi-truong\/","title":{"rendered":"C\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n ng\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u00f3ng: Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt d\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n v\u00e0 k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

Trong m\u1ed9t phi\u00ean giao d\u1ecbch \u0111\u1ea7y bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng khi t\u00e2m l\u00fd nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 b\u1ecb bao tr\u00f9m b\u1edfi \u00e1p l\u1ef1c ch\u1ed1t l\u1eddi tr\u01b0\u1edbc k\u1ef3 ngh\u1ec9 l\u1ec5 d\u00e0i ng\u00e0y, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n ng\u00e0y 29\/4 \u0111\u00e3 ch\u1ee9ng ki\u1ebfn m\u1ed9t hi\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u1ea7y th\u00fa v\u1ecb: s\u1ef1 tr\u1ed7i d\u1eady m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd c\u1ee7a nh\u00f3m c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n. Gi\u1eefa nh\u1eefng \u0111\u1ee3t rung l\u1eafc d\u1eef d\u1ed9i khi\u1ebfn s\u1eafc \u0111\u1ecf lan r\u1ed9ng, vi\u1ec7c nh\u00f3m ng\u00e0nh n\u00e0y b\u1ea5t ng\u1edd “ng\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u00f3ng” kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 \u0111\u01a1n thu\u1ea7n l\u00e0 ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n c\u1ee7a cung c\u1ea7u, m\u00e0 c\u00f2n \u1ea9n ch\u1ee9a nh\u1eefng t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt quan tr\u1ecdng v\u1ec1 s\u1ef1 d\u1ecbch chuy\u1ec3n d\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u00ecm ki\u1ebfm v\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ec7m an to\u00e0n. Th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf, khi \u00e1p l\u1ef1c b\u00e1n k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n \u0111\u1ed3ng lo\u1ea1t, c\u00e1c c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu c\u00f3 n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n t\u1ed1t th\u01b0\u1eddng tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh \u0111i\u1ec3m tr\u00fa \u1ea9n l\u00fd t\u01b0\u1edfng cho d\u00f2ng v\u1ed1n th\u00f4ng minh, tr\u00e1nh kh\u1ecfi s\u1ef1 nhi\u1ec5u lo\u1ea1n c\u1ee7a xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m \u0111i\u1ec3m di\u1ec7n r\u1ed9ng.<\/p>\n

\n \"C\u1ed5
\u1ea2nh t\u1eeb ngu\u1ed3n: cafef.vn<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

B\u1ea3n ch\u1ea5t k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt \u0111\u1eb1ng sau d\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n \u0111\u1ed5 d\u1ed3n v\u00e0o nh\u00f3m ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n<\/h2>\n

X\u00e9t d\u01b0\u1edbi g\u00f3c nh\u00ecn k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt, vi\u1ec7c c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n thu h\u00fat m\u1ea1nh d\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n trong phi\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng “r\u1ef1c l\u1eeda” l\u00e0 minh ch\u1ee9ng cho th\u1ea5y s\u1ef1 t\u00edch l\u0169y \u0111\u00e3 ho\u00e0n t\u1ea5t t\u1eeb tr\u01b0\u1edbc. Th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng, tr\u01b0\u1edbc nh\u1eefng k\u1ef3 ngh\u1ec9 l\u1ec5 d\u00e0i, t\u00e2m l\u00fd nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00e1 nh\u00e2n t\u1ea1i Vi\u1ec7t Nam th\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng b\u00e1n h\u1ea1 t\u1ef7 tr\u1ecdng \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3m thi\u1ec3u r\u1ee7i ro bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng ngo\u00e0i t\u1ea7m ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t. \u0110\u00e2y ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 l\u00fac ch\u00fang ta c\u1ea7n nh\u00ecn s\u00e2u h\u01a1n v\u00e0o di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt \u0111\u1ec3 th\u1ea5y r\u1eb1ng, khi c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o nh\u01b0 RSI t\u1ea1i v\u00f9ng qu\u00e1 b\u00e1n ho\u1eb7c quanh ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng trung t\u00ednh \u0111ang c\u00f3 d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u b\u1ebb g\u00f3c \u0111i l\u00ean, s\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ed3ng thu\u1eadn c\u1ee7a d\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n l\u1edbn b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u l\u1ed9 di\u1ec7n. Nh\u01b0 \u0111\u00e3 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e2y trong b\u00e0i Nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n ch\u1ed1t l\u1eddi m\u1ea1nh tr\u01b0\u1edbc ngh\u1ec9 l\u1ec5: B\u1ea3n ch\u1ea5t k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt \u0111\u1eb1ng sau \u00e1p l\u1ef1c b\u00e1n<\/a>, s\u1ef1 ph\u00e2n h\u00f3a l\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u t\u1ea5t y\u1ebfu. T\u1ea1i c\u00e1c phi\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng rung l\u1eafc, nh\u1eefng c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu gi\u1eef \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng (MA) 20 v\u00e0 MA 50 v\u1eefng ch\u1eafc ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng m\u00e3 cho th\u1ea5y s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh n\u1ed9i t\u1ea1i m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd nh\u1ea5t, thu h\u00fat l\u1ef1c c\u1ea7u b\u1eaft \u0111\u00e1y thay v\u00ec ho\u1ea3ng lo\u1ea1n b\u00e1n th\u00e1o theo ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 chung.<\/p>\n

\u0110\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c t\u1eeb cung c\u1ea7u v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 d\u1ecbch chuy\u1ec3n c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c d\u00f2ng v\u1ed1n l\u1edbn<\/h2>\n

Khi quan s\u00e1t c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3 th\u1ecb k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n, kh\u00f4ng kh\u00f3 \u0111\u1ec3 nh\u1eadn ra r\u1eb1ng nh\u00f3m c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n \u0111ang h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh c\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh t\u00edch l\u0169y n\u1ec1n ph\u1eb3ng kh\u00e1 ch\u1eb7t ch\u1ebd. S\u1ef1 quan t\u00e2m c\u1ee7a d\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n kh\u00f4ng xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n ng\u1eabu nhi\u00ean m\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u1eadu thu\u1eabn b\u1edfi s\u1ef1 k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng v\u1ec1 chu k\u1ef3 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i c\u1ee7a gi\u00e1 nguy\u00ean li\u1ec7u \u0111\u1ea7u v\u00e0o v\u00e0 nhu c\u1ea7u n\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u. Trong th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi c\u1ee7a ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt, m\u1ed9t c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu mu\u1ed1n “ng\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u00f3ng” th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng c\u1ea7n ph\u1ea3i v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00e1c ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 t\u00e2m l\u00fd b\u1eb1ng thanh kho\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ed9t bi\u1ebfn. Khi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng chung \u0111i xu\u1ed1ng, vi\u1ec7c m\u1ed9t nh\u00f3m c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu duy tr\u00ec \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c kh\u1ed1i l\u01b0\u1ee3ng giao d\u1ecbch cao tr\u00ean m\u1ee9c trung b\u00ecnh 20 phi\u00ean l\u00e0 d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u cho th\u1ea5y c\u00e1c qu\u1ef9 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u00e0 nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c \u0111ang ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ed9ng h\u1ea5p th\u1ee5 l\u01b0\u1ee3ng cung b\u00e1n ra. \u0110\u00e2y ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 tr\u1ea1ng th\u00e1i “v\u01b0\u1ee3t tr\u1ed9i h\u01a1n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng” m\u00e0 b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 n\u00e0o c\u0169ng n\u00ean theo d\u00f5i s\u00e1t sao, b\u1edfi n\u00f3 th\u01b0\u1eddng l\u00e0 ti\u1ec1n \u0111\u1ec1 cho m\u1ed9t nh\u1ecbp t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 trung h\u1ea1n b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng sau \u0111\u00f3.<\/p>\n

T\u1ea7m nh\u00ecn 3 \u0111\u1ebfn 6 th\u00e1ng: Li\u1ec7u c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 b\u1ee9t ph\u00e1 b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng?<\/h2>\n

H\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111\u1ebfn k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n trong 3 \u0111\u1ebfn 6 th\u00e1ng t\u1edbi, c\u00e2u h\u1ecfi \u0111\u1eb7t ra kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 li\u1ec7u c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n c\u00f3 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c duy tr\u00ec \u0111\u00e0 t\u0103ng, m\u00e0 l\u00e0 li\u1ec7u c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt c\u00f3 x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn s\u1ef1 chuy\u1ec3n d\u1ecbch t\u1eeb tr\u1ea1ng th\u00e1i t\u00edch l\u0169y sang giai \u0111o\u1ea1n b\u00f9ng n\u1ed5 hay kh\u00f4ng. V\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c c\u00e1c \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng MA b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u h\u1ed9i t\u1ee5 v\u00e0 h\u01b0\u1edbng l\u00ean, ch\u00fang ta ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n c\u00f3 c\u01a1 s\u1edf \u0111\u1ec3 k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng v\u1ec1 m\u1ed9t c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 d\u00e0i h\u01a1i h\u01a1n. Tuy nhi\u00ean, nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u1ea7n h\u1ebft s\u1ee9c th\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng v\u1edbi c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 ngo\u1ea1i c\u1ea3nh. \u0110\u1eebng qu\u00ean r\u1eb1ng, nh\u1eefng bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p c\u0169ng th\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c chi ph\u1ed1i b\u1edfi x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t v\u00e0 x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea, nh\u01b0 c\u00e1ch m\u00e0 ch\u00fang ta t\u1eebng \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 trong b\u00e0i Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt c\u00e1c d\u00e3y s\u1ed1 Powerball v\u00e0 x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh<\/a>. Trong th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n c\u0169ng v\u1eady, s\u1ef1 ng\u1eabu nhi\u00ean c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c phi\u00ean rung l\u1eafc c\u1ea7n ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ecdc b\u1ecf th\u00f4ng qua vi\u1ec7c nh\u00ecn nh\u1eadn v\u00e0o xu h\u01b0\u1edbng ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ea1o c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt thay v\u00ec b\u1ecb cu\u1ed1n v\u00e0o t\u00e2m l\u00fd \u0111\u00e1m \u0111\u00f4ng nh\u1ea5t th\u1eddi.<\/p>\n

L\u1eddi khuy\u00ean chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c cho nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 th\u1ef1c chi\u1ebfn<\/h2>\n

D\u01b0\u1edbi g\u00f3c \u0111\u1ed9 chuy\u00ean gia k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt, l\u1eddi khuy\u00ean d\u00e0nh cho nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 t\u1ea1i taichinhphowall.com l\u00fac n\u00e0y l\u00e0 h\u00e3y \u01b0u ti\u00ean chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c qu\u1ea3n tr\u1ecb r\u1ee7i ro tr\u00ean danh m\u1ee5c c\u00f3 s\u1eb5n. Trong nh\u1eefng phi\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u01b0ng ph\u1ea5n, kh\u00f4ng n\u00ean mua \u0111u\u1ed5i gi\u00e1 xanh m\u00e0 h\u00e3y ki\u00ean nh\u1eabn ch\u1edd \u0111\u1ee3i nh\u1eefng nh\u1ecbp ki\u1ec3m \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u1ea1i (re-test) c\u00e1c ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 quan tr\u1ecdng. Vi\u1ec7c thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec3m d\u1eebng l\u1ed7 (stop-loss) d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng MA ho\u1eb7c c\u00e1c m\u1ee9c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 Fibonacci l\u00e0 b\u1eaft bu\u1ed9c \u0111\u1ec3 b\u1ea3o to\u00e0n v\u1ed1n. H\u00e3y nh\u1edb r\u1eb1ng, vi\u1ec7c c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n ng\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u00f3ng ng\u00e0y h\u00f4m nay l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u, nh\u01b0ng \u0111\u1ec3 bi\u1ebfn t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u \u0111\u00f3 th\u00e0nh l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf, s\u1ef1 k\u1ef7 lu\u1eadt trong vi\u1ec7c b\u00e1m s\u00e1t m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt m\u1edbi l\u00e0 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh. Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng s\u1ebd lu\u00f4n c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng bi\u1ebfn s\u1ed1 kh\u00f3 l\u01b0\u1eddng, v\u00e0 vi\u1ec7c gi\u1eef cho m\u00ecnh m\u1ed9t t\u00e2m th\u1ebf b\u00ecnh t\u0129nh, d\u1ef1a v\u00e0o c\u00e1c con s\u1ed1 thay v\u00ec c\u1ea3m x\u00fac, ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 ch\u00eca kh\u00f3a \u0111\u1ec3 t\u1ed3n t\u1ea1i v\u00e0 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n trong d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n. \u0110\u1eebng qu\u00ean quan s\u00e1t c\u00e1c ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng c\u1ee7a d\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n t\u1ea1i nh\u1eefng v\u00f9ng kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 l\u1ecbch s\u1eed, b\u1edfi \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 n\u01a1i “b\u1ea3n l\u0129nh c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng” th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 l\u00ean ti\u1ebfng.<\/p>\n

B\u00e0i vi\u1ebft \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c bi\u00ean t\u1eadp l\u1ea1i t\u1eeb ngu\u1ed3n: cafef.vn<\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Trong m\u1ed9t phi\u00ean giao d\u1ecbch \u0111\u1ea7y bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng khi t\u00e2m l\u00fd nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 b\u1ecb bao tr\u00f9m b\u1edfi \u00e1p l\u1ef1c ch\u1ed1t l\u1eddi tr\u01b0\u1edbc k\u1ef3 ngh\u1ec9 l\u1ec5 d\u00e0i ng\u00e0y, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n ng\u00e0y 29\/4 \u0111\u00e3 ch\u1ee9ng ki\u1ebfn m\u1ed9t hi\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u1ea7y th\u00fa v\u1ecb: s\u1ef1 tr\u1ed7i d\u1eady m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd c\u1ee7a nh\u00f3m c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n. Gi\u1eefa […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":11159,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[46],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-11160","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-phan-tich-ky-thuat"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/taichinhphowall.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11160","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/taichinhphowall.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/taichinhphowall.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/taichinhphowall.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/taichinhphowall.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=11160"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/taichinhphowall.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11160\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/taichinhphowall.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/11159"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/taichinhphowall.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=11160"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/taichinhphowall.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=11160"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/taichinhphowall.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=11160"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}