{"id":10936,"date":"2026-05-01T15:19:23","date_gmt":"2026-05-01T08:19:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/taichinhphowall.com\/index.php\/2026\/05\/01\/gia-dau-brent-va-nhung-rung-chan-tu-ban-co-dia-chinh-tri-trung-dong\/"},"modified":"2026-05-01T15:19:23","modified_gmt":"2026-05-01T08:19:23","slug":"gia-dau-brent-va-nhung-rung-chan-tu-ban-co-dia-chinh-tri-trung-dong","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/taichinhphowall.com\/index.php\/2026\/05\/01\/gia-dau-brent-va-nhung-rung-chan-tu-ban-co-dia-chinh-tri-trung-dong\/","title":{"rendered":"Gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u Brent v\u00e0 nh\u1eefng rung ch\u1ea5n t\u1eeb b\u00e0n c\u1edd \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb Trung \u0110\u00f4ng"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

S\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u Brent b\u1ea5t ng\u1edd b\u1ee9t ph\u00e1 m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd, ch\u1ea1m ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng 126 USD m\u1ed7i th\u00f9ng, kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01a1n thu\u1ea7n l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t con s\u1ed1 k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt tr\u00ean b\u1ea3ng \u0111i\u1ec7n t\u1eed, m\u00e0 l\u00e0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u \u0111\u1ecf c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o v\u1ec1 m\u1ed9t “c\u01a1n \u0111\u1ecba ch\u1ea5n” \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb \u0111ang bao tr\u00f9m l\u00ean ngu\u1ed3n cung n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u. Khi nh\u1eefng th\u00f4ng tin v\u1ec1 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Iran tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh t\u00e2m \u0111i\u1ec3m tr\u00ean c\u00e1c b\u1ea3n tin qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 \u0111\u00e3 ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng b\u1eb1ng m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 lo ng\u1ea1i c\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ed9. \u0110\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i c\u1ee9ng r\u1eafn t\u1eeb T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Donald Trump, c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c phong t\u1ecfa eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz, \u0111\u00e3 t\u1ea1o ra m\u1ed9t l\u1eb1n ranh \u0111\u1ecf m\u1edbi, \u0111\u1ea9y gi\u00e1 n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng l\u00ean m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2022. \u0110\u00e2y kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 c\u00e2u chuy\u1ec7n v\u1ec1 cung v\u00e0 c\u1ea7u, m\u00e0 l\u00e0 s\u1ef1 ph\u1ea3n chi\u1ebfu c\u1ee7a nh\u1eefng toan t\u00ednh chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c trong m\u1ed9t th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi \u0111\u1ea7y bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng.<\/p>\n

\n \"Gi\u00e1
\u1ea2nh t\u1eeb ngu\u1ed3n: vtcnews.vn<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Khi d\u00f2ng ch\u1ea3y n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh qu\u00e2n b\u00e0i m\u1eb7c c\u1ea3<\/h2>\n

Trong d\u00f2ng ch\u1ea3y c\u1ee7a l\u1ecbch s\u1eed \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb, eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz lu\u00f4n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xem l\u00e0 m\u1ea1ch m\u00e1u n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng quan tr\u1ecdng b\u1eadc nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi. M\u1ecdi bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u1ea1i \u0111\u00e2y \u0111\u1ec1u \u0111\u1ec3 l\u1ea1i nh\u1eefng h\u1ec7 l\u1ee5y t\u1ee9c th\u00ec tr\u00ean c\u00e1c s\u00e0n giao d\u1ecbch h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a. Th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf cho th\u1ea5y, vi\u1ec7c B\u1ed9 T\u01b0 l\u1ec7nh Trung t\u00e2m M\u1ef9 chu\u1ea9n b\u1ecb c\u00e1c ph\u01b0\u01a1ng \u00e1n h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ec1 xu\u1ea5t kh\u00f4ng mang t\u00ednh th\u1ecfa hi\u1ec7p t\u1eeb Tehran \u0111\u00e3 khi\u1ebfn th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng r\u01a1i v\u00e0o tr\u1ea1ng th\u00e1i ho\u1ea3ng lo\u1ea1n. Khi c\u00e1c chuy\u00ean gia t\u1ea1i Goldman Sachs c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o r\u1eb1ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u d\u1ea7u qua “\u0111i\u1ec3m ngh\u1ebdn” n\u00e0y ch\u1ec9 c\u00f2n v\u1ecfn v\u1eb9n 4% so v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c b\u00ecnh th\u01b0\u1eddng, ch\u00fang ta hi\u1ec3u r\u1eb1ng th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi \u0111ang \u0111\u1ee9ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc nguy c\u01a1 \u0111\u1ee9t g\u00e3y chu\u1ed7i cung \u1ee9ng nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng. S\u1ef1 c\u1ee9ng r\u1eafn c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n Washington kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 d\u1eebng l\u1ea1i \u1edf c\u00e1c tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 tr\u00ean m\u1ea1ng x\u00e3 h\u1ed9i, m\u00e0 \u0111\u00e3 hi\u1ec7n th\u1ef1c h\u00f3a th\u00e0nh nh\u1eefng l\u1ec7nh tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t si\u1ebft ch\u1eb7t, khi\u1ebfn b\u00e0i to\u00e1n Iran tr\u1edf n\u00ean kh\u00f3 gi\u1ea3i h\u01a1n bao gi\u1edd h\u1ebft. Nh\u01b0 \u0111\u00e3 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e2y trong b\u00e0i Eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz v\u00e0 th\u00f4ng \u0111i\u1ec7p v\u1ec1 m\u1ed9t ch\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1edbi \u0111\u1ea7y bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng<\/a>, \u0111\u00e2y kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01a1n thu\u1ea7n l\u00e0 tranh ch\u1ea5p l\u00e3nh h\u1ea3i m\u00e0 l\u00e0 cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u1ed1i \u0111\u1ea7u tr\u1ef1c di\u1ec7n gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c th\u1ebf l\u1ef1c v\u1ec1 t\u1ea7m \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng t\u1ea1i khu v\u1ef1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n

\u0110\u1ed9 tr\u1ec5 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch v\u00e0 nh\u1eefng k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng mong manh<\/h2>\n

Nh\u00ecn v\u00e0o b\u1ee9c tranh v\u0129 m\u00f4, vi\u1ec7c UAE t\u0103ng s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng hay c\u00e1c ngu\u1ed3n d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7a nhi\u1ec1u qu\u1ed1c gia \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u01b0a ra th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng li\u1ec1u thu\u1ed1c gi\u1ea3m \u0111au t\u1ea1m th\u1eddi, kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 thay th\u1ebf cho m\u1ed9t d\u00f2ng ch\u1ea3y \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh. Gi\u1edbi quan s\u00e1t nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh r\u1eb1ng, ngay c\u1ea3 khi c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c h\u1ea1 nhi\u1ec7t, kho\u1ea3ng c\u00e1ch gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c b\u00ean v\u1eabn c\u00f2n r\u1ea5t xa. Trong khi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111ang b\u1ecb chi ph\u1ed1i b\u1edfi t\u00e2m l\u00fd lo ng\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 s\u1ef1 leo thang, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch l\u1ea1i t\u1ecf ra th\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng tr\u01b0\u1edbc c\u00e1c chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ed9i t\u00e0u ch\u1edf d\u1ea7u. S\u1ef1 gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n v\u1eadt l\u00fd k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb nh\u1eadp nh\u1eb1ng \u0111\u00e3 t\u1ea1o ra m\u1ed9t k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n r\u1ee7i ro k\u00e9p. \u0110i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00e1ng n\u00f3i l\u00e0 ngay c\u1ea3 khi l\u1ec7nh ng\u1eebng b\u1eafn hay c\u00e1c gi\u1ea3i ph\u00e1p ngo\u1ea1i giao \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1eb7t ra, nh\u1eefng n\u00fat th\u1eaft h\u1eadu c\u1ea7n v\u1eabn t\u1ed3n t\u1ea1i, khi\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u diesel v\u00e0 c\u00e1c s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m tinh ch\u1ebf kh\u00e1c v\u1eabn ch\u1ecbu \u00e1p l\u1ef1c c\u1ef1c l\u1edbn, \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp \u0111\u1ebfn chi ph\u00ed v\u1eadn t\u1ea3i to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y g\u1ee3i nh\u1eafc \u0111\u1ebfn b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh chung m\u00e0 ch\u00fang ta \u0111\u00e3 t\u1eebng \u0111\u1ec1 c\u1eadp t\u1ea1i b\u00e0i \u0110\u1ec1 xu\u1ea5t ng\u1eebng b\u1eafn d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n t\u1ea1i Ukraine v\u00e0 nh\u1eefng d\u01b0 ch\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb<\/a>, n\u01a1i m\u1ed7i quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c nguy\u00ean th\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ec1u t\u1ea1o ra nh\u1eefng \u0111\u1ee3t s\u00f3ng ng\u1ea7m trong n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi.<\/p>\n

\u00c1p l\u1ef1c l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t v\u00e0 r\u1ee7i ro t\u1eeb nhu c\u1ea7u suy gi\u1ea3m<\/h2>\n

D\u00f9 gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 \u0111ang neo \u1edf m\u1ee9c cao, ch\u00fang ta kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 b\u1ecf qua m\u1eb7t tr\u00e1i c\u1ee7a t\u1ea5m huy ch\u01b0\u01a1ng: nhu c\u1ea7u ti\u00eau th\u1ee5 to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u \u0111ang c\u00f3 d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u ch\u1eefng l\u1ea1i. C\u00e1c b\u00e1o c\u00e1o g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y ch\u1ec9 ra r\u1eb1ng ti\u00eau th\u1ee5 d\u1ea7u trong th\u00e1ng 4 \u0111\u00e3 s\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t trong c\u00e1c l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c h\u00e0ng kh\u00f4ng v\u00e0 h\u00f3a d\u1ea7u. Khi chi ph\u00ed \u0111\u1ea7u v\u00e0o t\u0103ng cao, c\u00e1c n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf l\u1edbn s\u1ebd \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi \u00e1p l\u1ef1c l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t kh\u00f3 ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t, bu\u1ed9c c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u1ea3i c\u00e2n nh\u1eafc l\u1ea1i ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t ngh\u1ecbch l\u00fd \u0111au \u0111\u1edbn: gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u t\u0103ng do \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb, nh\u01b0ng ch\u00ednh s\u1ef1 leo thang gi\u00e1 c\u1ea3 n\u00e0y l\u1ea1i \u0111\u1ea9y th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi v\u00e0o m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c suy tho\u00e1i nhu c\u1ea7u ti\u1ec1m \u1ea9n. C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u1ea7n h\u1ebft s\u1ee9c t\u1ec9nh t\u00e1o tr\u01b0\u1edbc k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ch\u1ea1m ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng 150 USD\/th\u00f9ng n\u1ebfu t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c leo thang, b\u1edfi m\u1ee9c gi\u00e1 n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh “c\u00fa s\u1ed1c” l\u00e0m \u0111\u1ee9t g\u00e3y s\u1ef1 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i kinh t\u1ebf v\u1ed1n \u0111\u00e3 mong manh trong n\u0103m 2026.<\/p>\n

L\u1eddi khuy\u00ean cho nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng<\/h2>\n

Trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng b\u1ecb chi ph\u1ed1i m\u1ea1nh b\u1edfi y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb, c\u00e1c danh m\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u1ea7n s\u1ef1 linh ho\u1ea1t t\u1ed1i \u0111a. Vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u1eb7t c\u01b0\u1ee3c to\u00e0n b\u1ed9 v\u00e0o c\u00e1c t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n nh\u1ea1y c\u1ea3m v\u1edbi d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 v\u00e0o th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m n\u00e0y l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1ea1o hi\u1ec3m. C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00e1 nh\u00e2n t\u1ea1i taichinhphowall.com n\u00ean t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0o vi\u1ec7c \u0111a d\u1ea1ng h\u00f3a danh m\u1ee5c, xem x\u00e9t c\u00e1c ng\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ed9 b\u1ec1n b\u1ec9 cao tr\u01b0\u1edbc bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u00e1 nguy\u00ean li\u1ec7u \u0111\u1ea7u v\u00e0o. \u0110\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi, vi\u1ec7c theo d\u00f5i s\u00e1t sao c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 v\u0129 m\u00f4 v\u00e0 tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 t\u1eeb ph\u00eda M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Iran l\u00e0 c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0a ra c\u00e1c quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh t\u00e1i c\u01a1 c\u1ea5u k\u1ecbp th\u1eddi. \u0110\u1eebng c\u1ed1 g\u1eafng \u0111o\u00e1n \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u1ec9nh c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng khi c\u00e1c l\u00e1 b\u00e0i \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb v\u1eabn \u0111ang li\u00ean t\u1ee5c \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u00e1o tr\u1ed9n tr\u00ean b\u00e0n c\u1edd th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi. S\u1ef1 ki\u00ean nh\u1eabn v\u00e0 t\u1ea7m nh\u00ecn d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n s\u1ebd l\u00e0 v\u0169 kh\u00ed quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u1ea5t trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n \u0111\u1ea7y b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ecbnh n\u00e0y, n\u01a1i m\u00e0 th\u00f4ng tin ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n qu\u00fd gi\u00e1 nh\u1ea5t.<\/p>\n

B\u00e0i vi\u1ebft \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c bi\u00ean t\u1eadp l\u1ea1i t\u1eeb ngu\u1ed3n: vtcnews.vn<\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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